Q1 2025 Quantitative Perspectives: US Market Insights

7 months ago


Dealmaking momentum signals private capital revival 

Markets are optimistic now that election uncertainty is gone and US economic conditions are improving amid falling rates. But the path toward a Goldilocks environment for private capital remains uncertain, our latest US Market Insights report explains. 

  • Asset owners face a distribution drought, squeezing returns and overexposing LPs to private markets. But PE and VC dealmaking picked up in late 2024, raising hopes for renewed exits and fundraising momentum. 
  • The leveraged loan market has strengthened, and private debt funds hold plenty of dry powder. While competition has compressed credit spreads, elevated base rates have supported total returns. 
  • Infrastructure investment is surging, especially in digital and energy transition sectors tied to AI growth. Meanwhile, real estate challenges include high office vacancies and new multifamily supply.  

The wide-ranging report is our biannual bird’s-eye view of US private markets. 



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