Why most people fail after 2 years of trying

6 hours ago


The dream is seductive: retire by 35, sip espresso in Lisbon, log into your portfolio once a month, and let compound interest do the rest.

That’s the siren song of the FIRE movement—Financial Independence, Retire Early—and millions have followed it with cult-like devotion. But here’s the uncomfortable truth no FIRE influencer will post on Instagram:

Most people quietly quit the FIRE movement after two years.

They don’t fail because they’re lazy. They fail because FIRE, in its most extreme form, is built on a set of assumptions that crumble when they collide with real life.

Here’s why.

1. You’re not a spreadsheet—you’re a human

FIRE blogs love to reduce life to a tidy Excel sheet: spend $24,000/year, save 70% of your income, invest in low-fee index funds, and voilà—freedom in a decade.

Sounds elegant. But it ignores one inconvenient fact: we don’t live in spreadsheets. We get bored. We fall in love. We burn out. We splurge on last-minute trips. We have kids. Life expands in messy, unpredictable ways, and no 4% rule can account for that.

What happens two years in? You start asking:
“Is this all there is? Just cutting costs and watching my net worth grow?”
That’s when people bail.

2. Frugality is a skill—but also a trap

At first, there’s a thrill in gaming the system—hacking flights, cooking beans, canceling subscriptions, side hustling on weekends.

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But prolonged frugality can become self-imposed deprivation disguised as discipline.

I’ve seen countless FIRE devotees who went from minimalist to miserable. They optimized themselves into a corner—no social life, no indulgences, no joy. And eventually, they snapped.

Financial independence should feel expansive. If it feels like scarcity, you’re doing it wrong.

3. The early retirement fantasy is often a lie

Here’s a truth bomb from someone who’s lived the digital nomad life for a decade:
Retirement isn’t freedom if you don’t know what to do with your time.

The “RE” in FIRE is overrated. Many people who hit their number and quit their job end up feeling lost. They swap burnout for boredom.

What they really needed wasn’t early retirement—it was meaningful work on their own terms. That’s why the ones who stick with FIRE long-term usually pivot. They don’t stop working—they start building. A business. A passion project. A mission.

Retirement isn’t the end. It’s the beginning of asking: “What now?”

4. Most people don’t have the income to make it work

Let’s get real: it’s way easier to chase FIRE when you’re earning six figures in tech than if you’re making $45k in a service job.

Yes, high savings rates matter. Yes, geo-arbitrage helps. But income is the true accelerator. And the uncomfortable reality is that many people in the FIRE movement are trying to brute-force their way to freedom with low or stagnant income.

That leads to burnout. Fast.

The people who succeed in FIRE usually do one thing differently: they focus on growing their income first. They start businesses, learn high-leverage skills, or pivot into tech. Then they save aggressively.

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It’s not about lattes. It’s about leverage.

5. It becomes a lonely path

When you’re optimizing your life around saving 70%, you’re out of sync with the rest of the world.

You skip dinners, decline trips, and say no to experiences because “future you” needs the money more. But after two years of saying no to everything, you realize you’ve built a prison of your own making.

Even worse? You might feel guilty when you do spend.

The FIRE movement doesn’t talk enough about the psychological cost of relentless optimization. It turns every purchase into a moral dilemma. That’s not freedom. That’s financial orthodoxy.

6. The algorithm punishes nuance

FIRE blogs and YouTube channels thrive on extreme takes:
“How I saved $100,000 in 2 years making $40k!”
“Why I’ll never own a home.”
“Retired at 30 with $500k—here’s how!”

But most of us live in the grey zone. We want financial freedom and a fulfilling life. We want to build wealth without living in a van. We want to retire early without retiring from purpose.

Unfortunately, those stories don’t go viral.

So the online FIRE world keeps pushing extremes. And the people in the middle—the ones who want balance—either burn out or quietly walk away.

7. FIRE isn’t the goal. Optionality is.

The people who succeed with FIRE don’t worship at the altar of early retirement.

They use it as a tool to buy optionality—the power to say no to toxic work, move cities, take risks, or build something meaningful without asking for permission.

That’s the version of FIRE worth chasing: not retiring from the world, but designing a life where you don’t have to work, but you want to.

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That’s what I’ve seen in my decade bouncing between startup culture and slow-living hubs from Medellín to Chiang Mai.

The winners aren’t the ones who quit working.
They’re the ones who stopped trading time for money and started living life on their terms.

Final thought

I’m not anti-FIRE.

But I am against selling illusions. And the idea that most people can save their way to financial independence without confronting the deeper questions—about meaning, identity, and freedom—is one of them.

FIRE isn’t dead. But it’s evolving.

The people who last more than two years? They stop chasing the dream, and they start building a lifestyle. Flexible. Sustainable. Real.

And that’s a movement worth being part of.



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